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> 21000 deaths is not "near zero"I'm not sure what your contrived narrative is, but actually it is near zero, far less than several other causes of death. (The annual mortality rate is over ...
show context + On: Antibody Tests Point to Lower Death Rate for the Coronavirus
HN
hacker news link | site new-york
There we go again. In NYC, 19 out of 100,000 people aged 18-45 died. (1)There are roughly 110M people in that age group in the U.S. so that would mean 21000 deaths if the virus would spread as widely ...
show context + On: Antibody Tests Point to Lower Death Rate for the Coronavirus
hacker news link | site china us timeline
Thanks for the info.If those dates are correct for the first week of Jan., then the CDC was actually very aggressive for a govt. agency, since Wuhan was still trying to cover it up that week. (See lin...
show context + On: The CDC's Coronavirus Death Rate Estimates Are Too Low, Many
HN
hacker news link | site england france germany italy new-york spain
> The only rational option I see is Americans must be some of the healthiest people. Kidding asideThe US was fortunate to have considerable ICU capacity. That has kept the mortality rate far lower tha...
show context + On: The CDC's Coronavirus Death Rate Estimates Are Too Low, Many
HN
The problem arises when people talk about a single "death rate" without the proper caveats. It is well understood that the infection fatality rate varies with age, from 0.001% for those unde...
show context + On: The CDC's Coronavirus Death Rate Estimates Are Too Low, Many
hacker news link | site california figures
Being that Alameda County (and neighboring Santa Clara County) have the highest number of COVID cases in the Bay Area[1], I would argue that their response was not overblown and likely had numbers to ...
show context + On: Tesla plans to build a new car factory in Texas
hacker news link | site england us
The US is pretty close to a lot of the rest of the OECD in obesity rates (in particular, UK/Australia/NZ) https://data.oecd.org/healthrisk/overweight-or-obese-populat...) while costing twice what othe...
show context + On: America's Growth Ponzi Scheme
hacker news link | site us figures
>In healthcare we have astronomical costs that have not bought us more vitality, but an extended morbidity. Gone are the days of grandmothers with sinewy arms maintaining huge gardens. Obesity in the ...
show context + On: America's Growth Ponzi Scheme
HN
That would be a valid conjecture if we didn't had the ONS data already there are virtually no additional reported deaths for that age group above what PHE reports:https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati...
show context + On: Cambridge research team estimates 12% of England has been in
> if you are under 45 and healthy your chances of dying from covid-19 are exceedingly small.Yes, I did say that.However,> as the ONS figures only a additionally include out of hospital deaths primari...
show context + On: Cambridge research team estimates 12% of England has been in
Not obvious this works though. 70% is herd immunity threshold when there is no epidemic. With an active epidemic it may be 95%.Here are some epidemiologists arguing that: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/...
show context + On: Cambridge research team estimates 12% of England has been in
HN
The comment above is overstated, but more or less correct. All the naive herd immunity calculations assume a well-mixed population. A large fraction of recovered and immune young people will protect t...
show context + On: Cambridge research team estimates 12% of England has been in
HN
Other highlights:Death rate for under-45 is under 0.024%Look at the "Deaths incidence" tab of the graphs at the bottom to see actual deaths with the curve-fit model.EDIT: Meant to include in...
show context + On: Cambridge research team estimates 12% of England has been in
HN
This is interesting ...The positive rate for those tested in the Bay Area started at 10% 2 months ago, but new test in past week are under 2%:https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pages/dashboard.aspx...
show context + On: Cambridge research team estimates 12% of England has been in
https://twitter.com/statesdj/status/1252698777296797698?s=21> If you're hoping a vaccine is going to be a knight in shining armor saving the day, you may be in for a disappointment. SARSCOV2 is a high...
show context + On: Instacart announces new Covid-19 policies and plans to hire
HN
Here in Ontario, Canada we have an online food delivery service (https://grocerygateway.com) and they built a super-automated distribution factory to help run this (and all of their stores in the area...
show context + On: Instacart announces new Covid-19 policies and plans to hire
hacker news link | site china new-york
The princess cruise ship study also gave an IFR (for China) of 0.5%, and an early epidemiological modeling study put the symptomatic CFR at 1.4% which would imply 0.7% IFR assuming it's 50% symptomati...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
Two weeks after that the WHO released a widely cited report claiming a fatality rate of 3.4%."Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
(Reposting my comment again here)This one's from a different company (BioMedomics) and it was a random test of people pulled straight off the streets. Happened at an entirely different geographical ar...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Flu rates are based on all known knowledge, population testing, etc. We don't have that for covid-19. If you want a good apple-to-apples comparison of lethality of another pandemic, you need to find C...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C