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hacker news link | site us chart
Because when you look at the excess deaths charts [1], there's nothing at all surprising before mid-March. Then from mid-March onwards, deaths (from all causes) go through the roof.So there simply was...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
hacker news link | site china us timeline
Thanks for the info.If those dates are correct for the first week of Jan., then the CDC was actually very aggressive for a govt. agency, since Wuhan was still trying to cover it up that week. (See lin...
show context + On: The CDC's Coronavirus Death Rate Estimates Are Too Low, Many
HN
hacker news link | site england france germany italy new-york spain
> The only rational option I see is Americans must be some of the healthiest people. Kidding asideThe US was fortunate to have considerable ICU capacity. That has kept the mortality rate far lower tha...
show context + On: The CDC's Coronavirus Death Rate Estimates Are Too Low, Many
hacker news link | site england us
The US is pretty close to a lot of the rest of the OECD in obesity rates (in particular, UK/Australia/NZ) https://data.oecd.org/healthrisk/overweight-or-obese-populat...) while costing twice what othe...
show context + On: America's Growth Ponzi Scheme
> if you are under 45 and healthy your chances of dying from covid-19 are exceedingly small.Yes, I did say that.However,> as the ONS figures only a additionally include out of hospital deaths primari...
show context + On: Cambridge research team estimates 12% of England has been in
HN
The comment above is overstated, but more or less correct. All the naive herd immunity calculations assume a well-mixed population. A large fraction of recovered and immune young people will protect t...
show context + On: Cambridge research team estimates 12% of England has been in
It seems the CDC has different data depending on where you look. The 45 million / 61,000 numbers are here, for the 2017-2018 season, see Figure 2:https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.htmlAnd on ...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site new-york
Is there a write-up for this study? Or anywhere with data/methodology released?Also, is this particularly good news? Using the raw numbers from the headline and the deaths from here https://www1.nyc.g...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Yes, but the age is a 10x factor, os CFR would be much different in Nigeria (average age is about 19) and Italy (average age 45). We have two good petri dishes:USS Theodore Roosevelt - 600 cases out o...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
0.5% comes from Cuomo's presentation [1].Also your 50% seems very high to me. My understanding is that 50% is about the death rate of covid patients requiring ventilation, so the overall death rate of...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
hacker news link | site new-york south-korea
>In the general population overall, Covid is undeniably more deadly than the flu, but only about 3-5x (and I think 3x personally right now).I don't see how you get close to 3X more deadly than the flu...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site california
> But to get from 7% (hospitalized to confirmed) to 1 in 500 is a factor of 35.This is broadly in the range implied by a number of measures across the entire population. 20x for randomized population...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
In San Diego people under 30 are close to 20% of total confirmed and over 5% of hospitalized cases. About 7% of confirmed are hospitalized for this age group. Our positive test ratio is under 7%. Test...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
Right, but I think some of that suicide rate comes from the lack of "purpose" (it's silly that we rely on our jobs for purpose but we really do), or more broadly the desynchronization of one...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site italy netherland us
At this point people advocating the position you're advocating for are in a state of denial (this is my opinion, not a matter of fact, obviously). Your assumption is that we can effectively prevent th...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
hacker news link | site sweden us
> I find it very suspicious that young people who don't go to the hospital with severe disease would require oxygen or end up with life-long lung injuries.https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
hacker news link | site sweden us
Young people are also drastically less likely to get severe disease, and drastically less likely to be hospitalized, see FIGURE 1. [1] I find it very suspicious that young people who don't go to the h...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site new-york
Per https://covidtracking.com/data#state-ny there have been 57103 hospitalizations in the state (not city, so not quite the same population), of which 15021 are still hospitalized. So that's 42082 ca...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
Except this data is also lagging by three weeks, depending on what antibodies are being checked. Some deaths today have come from infections in April, so the net effect could be a wash.And where are ...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C
HN
hacker news link | site new-york us
You can derive that from better data. From https://covidtracking.com/ we can see that 57k people have been hospitalized in New York State so far, with 15k still in the hospital. Of the 42k who aren'...
show context + On: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have C