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This[1] is their source description for Luxembourg. Following their "country profile" link from there, their source seems to be saying around 1% positive test rate for Luxembourg[2].So it's ...
show context + On: MicroCOVID: Estimate the Covid risk from your ordinary daily
I love the effort to quantify things! It's a great approach.I am sure there are a bunch of ways to nitpick but I appreciate the approach.I personally think you need a drop-down for age and your risk t...
show context + On: MicroCOVID: Estimate the Covid risk from your ordinary daily
hacker news link | site world study
There have reports both ways. It seems quite reasonable that nobody has been looking very hard where there aren't any symptoms. https://www.livescience.com/can-kids-get-coronavirus.html...
show context + On: 'Dramatic decline' in average age of Florida coronavirus pat
hacker news link | site china us
I'll respond in the hopes that you learn.First, your general assessment is wrong. The news was already reporting about US intelligence knowing about this in autumn of 2019, as well as China knowing ab...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
HN
According to European surveillance data [1], diarrhea is also a very rare symptom. The authors don't have a convincing argument why this should be a good indicator for COVID-19.[1] bottom row in this ...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
There is another report that suggested mobile data indicated the Wuhan lab "was closed from Oct. 7 through Oct. 24, 2019, and that there may have been a "hazardous event" sometime between Oc...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
hacker news link | site us figures
Not to mention the PCR tests and the antibody tests got combined into "total cases" in several data sets, mucking the numbers:https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/05/cdc-and-s......
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
HN
Independent testing of the Abbott assay found lower sensitivity, 94%. The blood samples used to establish sensitivity are also from patients who got sick enough to seek medical care, who likely have h...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
First, if you're talking about swabbing, then I think you're talking about the test to see whether a person is currently infected with the virus. That's what the article you linked was regarding.The a...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
COVID test accuracy is very similar to condom effectiveness: they're both high in theory, but surprisingly low in practice, not because of the science but user error. I've seen estimates as high as 1...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
Anecdotes aren't worth much in this area. There's no conspiracy of silence about problems. We can use actual science. They actually test the quality of these tests. Some are better than others.For exa...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
hacker news link | site us chart
Because when you look at the excess deaths charts [1], there's nothing at all surprising before mid-March. Then from mid-March onwards, deaths (from all causes) go through the roof.So there simply was...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
HN
From https://www.wsj.com/articles/so-where-did-the-virus-come-fro...:> New re­search has deep­ened, rather than dis­pelled, the mys­tery sur­round­ing the ori­gin of the coro­n­avirus re­spon­si­ble f...
show context + On: Wuhan hospital traffic, search engine data indicate virus ac
In a previous report by Reuters, all 4,800 personnel were tested for COVID-19. 600 tested positive of which 360 were symptom-free leaving 240 that tested positive and showed symptoms. 1 person died ...
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
Herd immunity halts transmission after a point. The flu is between 33% and 44%. Covid-19 has some wide estimates for the threshold, between 29% and 74% according to the two studies referenced here: ht...
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
HN
The PCR test is a very specific test. A positive test means the RNA sequence of SARS-CoV-2 was detected. A negative test, however, would not be as strong of an indicator as false positive rates are qu...
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
Yes, higher dose/severity probably means more likelihood of detectable antibodies:https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.21.108308v1> These data show that systemic IgA and IgG production agai...
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
This probably under counts the true number of infection significantly.If the sensitivity/specificity of the test was similar to the paper below, true prevalence for the ship probably approaches 100%.h...
show context + On: U.S. Navy test shows 60 percent of carrier crew have coronav
Heinsberg study suggests a mortality rate of about 0.36%. This is high, but not "a big threat". Given that with 0.36% and 15% infection spread in the general population (like flu) you look a...
show context + On: For experts who study coronaviruses, a grim vindication
hacker news link | site world table
I'll give you an honest answer, but well, it's obvious. Yes, it's a big threat, it's clear if you pay attention. It's killed more than 100k people, a lot more than an annual flue. It's a horrible deat...
show context + On: For experts who study coronaviruses, a grim vindication